Bundesliga 2024-2025: Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction

Dortmund

Home Team
89%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
5%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 67%
Under 2.5: 33%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 4 1 72 20 52 61
2 Leverkusen 24 15 8 1 55 28 27 53
3 Ein Frankfurt 24 12 6 6 50 37 13 42
4 Mainz 24 12 5 7 39 25 14 41
5 Freiburg 24 12 4 8 34 36 -2 40
6 RB Leipzig 24 10 8 6 39 33 6 38
7 Wolfsburg 24 10 7 7 48 38 10 37
8 M'gladbach 24 11 4 9 38 35 3 37
9 Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 42 37 5 36
10 Dortmund 24 10 5 9 45 38 7 35
11 Augsburg 24 8 8 8 27 35 -8 32
12 Werder Bremen 24 8 6 10 36 49 -13 30
13 Hoffenheim 24 6 7 11 31 46 -15 25
14 Union Berlin 24 6 5 13 20 37 -17 23
15 St Pauli 24 6 3 15 18 29 -11 21
16 Bochum 24 4 5 15 23 47 -24 17
17 Holstein Kiel 24 4 4 16 35 59 -24 16
18 Heidenheim 24 4 3 17 27 50 -23 15

Recent Trends

Dortmund ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 6 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bochum (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 1)

Augsburg ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Dortmund

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 2

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

Dortmund is heavily favored to win against Augsburg, with a staggering 89% probability of victory. This prediction aligns with the analysis that suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 67% probability of the match having over 2.5 goals. Dortmund stands at 10th place in the Bundesliga, while Augsburg is close behind in 11th, making this clash a pivotal one for both teams aiming to climb the standings.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Dortmund has shown mixed form. They secured convincing wins over St Pauli and Union Berlin, scoring a total of 8 goals while keeping clean sheets in both matches. However, a setback came against Bochum, where they were defeated 2-0 away. Dortmund's recent performances indicate an attacking prowess with an average of 2.4 goals scored in the last five games, though defensive vulnerabilities are present with 1.6 goals conceded on average. Augsburg, on the other hand, has been defensively solid, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches. Their recent results include an impressive 3-0 victory over M'gladbach and two goalless draws against Freiburg and RB Leipzig. However, their attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Augsburg's ability to maintain a strong defensive line could challenge Dortmund's attacking ambitions.

Final Prediction

Dortmund's offensive capabilities give them a distinct advantage over Augsburg, particularly at home, where they have enjoyed recent successes. The key factor to watch will be whether Dortmund can break through Augsburg's resilient defense. The outcome may hinge on Dortmund's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, something they have excelled at in recent games.