Bundesliga 2024-2025: Bochum vs Stuttgart Prediction

Bochum

Home Team
13%
VS

Stuttgart

Away Team
75%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 73%
Under 2.5: 27%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17

Recent Trends

Bochum ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)

Stuttgart ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bochum

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.45
# Clean Sheets: 0

Stuttgart

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.93
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Stuttgart is predicted to secure a victory over Bochum with a 75.0% probability of winning. The chances of the match having over 2.5 goals are high, at 73.0%. Currently, Stuttgart sits in 11th place in the Bundesliga standings, whereas Bochum is struggling near the bottom in 17th place, facing potential relegation.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Bochum has shown a mixed bag of performances. Despite a surprising win against Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich, their losses to Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt showcased defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match in their last five games. Their offensive efforts are slightly better, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game, but converting expected goals into actual goals remains a challenge. On the other hand, Stuttgart's recent form has been less than ideal, with a loss to Eintracht Frankfurt and a high-scoring defeat to Leverkusen. They managed a draw against the bottom-placed Holstein Kiel. Stuttgart's average goals scored and conceded per game stand at 1.0 and 1.4, respectively, with no clean sheets in their last five matches. Both teams have struggled defensively, but Stuttgart's slightly better position in the standings and their ability to score 3 goals against Leverkusen show they have the potential to capitalize on Bochum's defensive lapses.

Final Prediction

Stuttgart's edge over Bochum stems from their superior league position and ability to score against stronger teams. With Bochum's defense under pressure, Stuttgart could exploit these weaknesses to secure a win. A key factor to watch in this game will be Stuttgart's ability to convert their chances, given both teams' defensive records.