Bundesliga 2024-2025: Bayern Munich vs Dortmund Prediction

Bayern Munich

Home Team
90%
VS

Dortmund

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 73%
Under 2.5: 27%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 54 68
2 Leverkusen 28 18 8 2 63 34 29 62
3 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 6 8 55 42 13 48
4 Mainz 28 13 7 8 46 32 14 46
5 RB Leipzig 28 12 9 7 44 35 9 45
6 M'gladbach 28 13 5 10 45 41 4 44
7 Freiburg 28 12 6 10 38 44 -6 42
8 Dortmund 28 12 5 11 52 43 9 41
9 Stuttgart 28 11 7 10 51 44 7 40
10 Werder Bremen 28 11 6 11 45 53 -8 39
11 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
12 Wolfsburg 28 10 8 10 49 42 7 38
13 Union Berlin 28 9 6 13 26 40 -14 33
14 Hoffenheim 28 6 9 13 34 52 -18 27
15 St Pauli 28 7 5 16 23 34 -11 26
16 Heidenheim 28 6 4 18 32 53 -21 22
17 Bochum 28 5 5 18 28 59 -31 20
18 Holstein Kiel 28 4 6 18 39 68 -29 18

Recent Trends

Bayern Munich ✅ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)

Dortmund ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Freiburg (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mainz (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 4.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 0

Dortmund

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.76
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Bayern Munich is heavily favored to triumph over Dortmund with a commanding 90% probability of victory. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 73% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Currently sitting at the top of the Bundesliga, Bayern Munich is six points ahead of their nearest competitor, while Dortmund is struggling at 8th place, fighting to improve their standing as the season progresses.

Match Analysis

Both Bayern Munich and Dortmund have shown mixed results in their recent matches. Bayern's recent fixtures include a hard-fought win against Augsburg and a challenging draw away to Union Berlin, alongside a narrow victory over St Pauli. Over these games, Bayern has maintained an average of 3.2 goals scored, showcasing their potent attack, although they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Dortmund has shown resilience with two wins against Freiburg and Mainz but faltered against RB Leipzig. Dortmund's recent performances have seen them score an average of 1.6 goals and concede 1.2 goals per game. Their expected goals metrics, with 3.056 scored and 1.756 conceded, suggest they have been slightly underperforming in attack and facing defensive challenges.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's superior position in the league and their robust scoring record give them a significant edge in this face-off. Fans should keep an eye on Bayern's offensive prowess, as they are likely to dominate the scoring chances. However, Dortmund's potential to surprise, especially if they capitalize on Bayern's defensive lapses, will be a key storyline to follow in this exciting Bundesliga clash.