Bundesliga 2024-2025: Augsburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
46%
VS
Wolfsburg
Away Team
28%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Ein Frankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
| 9 | M'gladbach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Dortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Bochum | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 0)
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.41
# Clean Sheets:
5
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.89
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Augsburg and Wolfsburg is predicted to swing in favor of the home team, Augsburg, with a 46.0% probability of victory. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 48.0% chance of staying under 2.5 goals. As things stand, Wolfsburg occupies the 7th position in the Bundesliga, while Augsburg is not far behind in 11th place.
Match Analysis
Augsburg has been in an impressive form of late, having not conceded a single goal in their last three matches. Their recent performances include a significant away win against Dortmund, a goalless draw at home versus Freiburg, and a commanding 3-0 victory over M'gladbach. This defensive resilience is highlighted by their five clean sheets in the last five matches, despite averaging only 0.4 goals scored per game. However, their expected goals (xG) figures suggest they might have more attacking potential than their recent goal tally indicates.
On the other side, Wolfsburg is experiencing a mixed bag of results. They have managed only one win in their last three games, drawing against St Pauli and Bochum and narrowly defeating Werder Bremen away. Wolfsburg's recent form shows an average of 1.6 goals scored per game contrasted with 1.2 goals conceded, pointing towards their relatively open playing style. However, their single clean sheet in the last five matches might be a concern against a defensively sound Augsburg.
Final Prediction
Augsburg's current defensive solidity gives them a slight edge over Wolfsburg, as they have managed to keep their net untouched in recent fixtures. The key factor to watch in this game will be Augsburg's ability to maintain their defensive discipline while seeking to capitalize on any scoring opportunities, potentially exploiting Wolfsburg's defensive vulnerabilities. If Augsburg continues this trend, they stand a strong chance of securing three valuable points at home.