Bundesliga 2024-2025: Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
43%
VS
Freiburg
Away Team
32%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 58 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Ein Frankfurt | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Mainz | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | M'gladbach | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Dortmund | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 32 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 15 |
| 17 | Bochum | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 47 | -25 | 15 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 1)
Freiburg
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
3
Freiburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.88
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Augsburg and Freiburg is predicted to favor the home side, Augsburg, with a 43.0% probability of victory. The match is expected to see more than 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Freiburg holds a stronger position in the Bundesliga, sitting at 4th place, while Augsburg is in 11th.
Match Analysis
Augsburg comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. They enjoyed a significant 3-0 away victory against M'gladbach, showcasing their potential when on form. However, their other two recent matches resulted in goalless draws against RB Leipzig and Mainz, indicating a solid defense but a struggling offense. Notably, Augsburg has managed three clean sheets in their last five games, highlighting defensive resilience.
Freiburg, on the other hand, is riding a wave of confidence with three consecutive wins. They dominated Werder Bremen with a 5-0 victory, showing their attacking prowess. Additionally, they secured narrow 1-0 wins over both St Pauli and Heidenheim, reflecting a solid defense as well. Despite conceding an average of 2.6 goals in their last five games, they've managed to keep four clean sheets, indicating they can tighten up when needed.
Final Prediction
Augsburg's home advantage, combined with their recent defensive solidity, gives them an edge in this matchup. Freiburg's recent form and scoring capabilities make them a formidable opponent, but Augsburg's ability to shut down their opponents could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be Augsburg's ability to convert defensive strength into attacking opportunities, potentially capitalizing on Freiburg's defensive vulnerabilities.