Bundesliga 2024-2025: Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Augsburg

Home Team
2%
VS

Bayern Munich

Away Team
96%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17

Recent Trends

Augsburg ⚪ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)

Bayern Munich ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.36
# Clean Sheets: 4

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich is heavily tilted in favor of Bayern Munich, with a daunting 96% probability of victory for the league leaders. Bayern Munich currently tops the Bundesliga standings with 65 points, showcasing their dominance this season. In contrast, Augsburg finds themselves in the 8th position with 39 points. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 62%, aligning with Bayern's reputation for high-scoring encounters.

Match Analysis

Augsburg enters this fixture with an impressive recent run, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They defeated both Wolfsburg and Dortmund, managing to keep clean sheets in those victories, and earned a draw against Hoffenheim. Augsburg's defensive resilience has been a cornerstone of their recent form, as evidenced by their four clean sheets in the last five games. However, their offensive output has been modest, averaging just 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings. Bayern Munich, despite their formidable stature, have encountered a slight hiccup in their recent performances. A narrow home win against St Pauli and a draw with Union Berlin were overshadowed by a surprising home defeat to Bochum. Nonetheless, Bayern continues to be a scoring powerhouse, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Their advanced metrics suggest a more prolific attack, with an expected goals figure of 1.896, which highlights their potential to create scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich is poised to extend their lead at the top of the Bundesliga, with their superior attacking prowess and overall quality giving them the edge over Augsburg. One key factor to watch will be Bayern's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, given their higher expected goals metric. Augsburg's recent defensive solidity could be tested to its limits, making it a crucial aspect of the match.